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Vladimir Orlov: “Russia and the United States should resume a comprehensive dialogue on global nuclear proliferation threats” image

On January 19, 2021, Dr. Vladimir A. Orlov, Director of the PIR Center, gave an interview to Security Index journal.


SECURITY INDEX: In your recent op-ed column, co-authored with Sergey Semenov and published by Kommersant Daily, you stated that “Russia and the United States, as major nuclear-weapo...

Andrey Baklitskiy

The future of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) may soon be clarified. There is little doubt in Tehran that US will withdraw from the JCPOA. PIR Center consultant Andrey Baklitskiy, who had recently visited Teheran for participating in Russian-Iranian Dialogue, shares his view on the fu...

World with or without the JCPOA: two scenarios for the US


The United States is now preparing equally for both a scenario where there is a mutual return to compliance with Iran on a nuclear deal, as well as one in which there is not an agreement, the State Department said.

“Because a mutual return to compliance with the JCPOA, is very much an uncertain proposition, we are now preparing equally for either scenario”, - Department spokesperson Ned Price said in a briefing.

Among other things, he mentioned a scenario in which there is no nuclear deal with its allies and partners in the event they “have to turn to other tactics and other approaches” to guarantee that Iran will not acquire nuclear weapons.

A mutual return to compliance would “significantly prolong the breakout time,” if Iran has plans to acquire fissile material for nuclear weapons.

It would also “reimpose the most stringent verification and monitoring program ever peacefully negotiated on a nuclear program that has not been subject to it for several years now.”

Republicans intend to limit Iran's interaction with China, in the US Senate they promote sanctions against Iran related to terrorism.

Recall that 4 years ago, on May 8, 2018, Donald Trump initiated the withdrawal of the United States from the "Iran nuclear deal", negotiations on which began back in 2005.

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