While most of the countries remain concentrated on the Ukrainian crisis, there is a possibility of another crisis at the different edge of Eurasia. The potential troublemaker is the Democratic People's Republic of Korea and its nuclear missile program, which has somewhat revived in recent times.


Negotiations to return to Iranian nuclear deal in recent weeks have noticeably stalled. The main reason for this is the discrepancy between the positions of Tehran and Washington on the status of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which is extremely important for Iran both from a military and economic point of view. On this background, external players interested in the restoration of the deal became more active. First of all, this concerns the monarchies of the Persian Gulf.


The military situation in Europe against the backdrop of the ongoing Russian special operation in Ukraine remains tense. On May 1, joint exercises Defender Europe and Swift Response began in Poland and eight other NATO countries. These exercises said to be last until May 26. Up to 18 thousand servicemen from the USA, Great Britain, France, Germany, Sweden and other countries will take part in them.


On April 28, the 113th Spring Session of the Trialogue Club International took place. It was dedicated to the topic “Hot Spring of 2022: Introduction to A New Global Insecurity, where the Ukraine events of early 2022, its potential consequences and future situation were discussed.

Russia Confidential: archive


RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N7/2018 Andrey Baklitskiy reports from Moscow: The JCPOA is not dead yet

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N6/2018 Vadim Kozyulin reports from Moscow: Afghanistan: an impasse for generals, a chance for diplomats

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N5/2018  Oleg Demidov, Margarita Angmar report from Moscow: America's New Cyber Strategy: Outlook for Russian-US Relations in Cyberspace

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N4/2018 Andrey Baklitskiy reports from Moscow: Can Putin-Trump Summit Fix Russian-US Arms Control?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N3/2018 Elena Chernenko, Oleg Demidov report from Moscow: Cyberspace: Considering the Prospects for Cooperation After the US-Russian Summit in Helsinki

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N2/2018 Andrey Baklitskiy reports from Moscow: What future for the JCPOA

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N1/2018 Andrey Baklitskiy reports from Moscow: The 2018 Nuclear Posture Review and Russia's Position. Express Analysis


RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N10/2017 Hans Blix reports from Moscow: How to Deal with Imminent Threats around North Korea, JCPOA for Iran and Arms Control Deadlock

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N9/2017 Anastasia Ponamareva, Sergay Ponamarev report from Moscow: Moscow and "Persian-Ottoman Knot"

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N8/2017 Vadim Kozyulin reports from Moscow: Safety Switch for a Robot: the Debate on Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N7/2017 Evgeny Buzhinskiy reports from Moscow: How to Approach a Re-Launch of Arms Control in Europe

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N6/2017 Yulia Sveshnikova reports from Kuala Lumpur: The Crossroads of Interests in the Qatar Crisis

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N5/2017 Russia Confidential reports from Moscow: International Security Today: With Russia, Without, or Against It? (based on materials of the VI Moscow International Security Conference organized by the Russian MoD) (CONTINUED)

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N4/2017 Russia Confidential reports from Moscow: International Security Today: With Russia, Without, or Against It? (based on materials of the VI Moscow International Security Conference organized by the Russian MoD)

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N3/2017 Vladimir Khrustalev reports from Vladivostok: North Korea’s Nuclear Missile Problem: What Is To Be Done?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N2/2017 Alexandr Kolbin reports from London: How Open Source Intelligence Narrows Down the Opportunities for Dialogue on the INF Treaty

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N1/2017 Aleksandr Vorontsov reports from Moscow: Situation on the Korean Peninsula: Opportunities for New U.S. Administration and Russian Interests (written in the wake of contacts with North Korean experts)


RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N12/2016 Oleg Demidov reports from Moscow: Cyber Attackers Knocking on Nuclear Door in Civil Realm: Russian View on How to Mitigate the Threat

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N11/2016 PIR Center's experts report from Moscow: What Russia and the World Should Expect from the Trump Presidency: Projections on the Future of U.S. Policy in Four Areas

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N10/2016 Vladimir Orlov reports from Geneva: Trump, Russia and a Narrow Window of Opportunity

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N9/2016 Russia Confidential editors report from Moscow: New Agenda for the 21st Century: New Technologies and Global Security Challenges (A review of the international conference “Emerging Technologies and Global Security: An Agenda for the 21st Century”)

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N8/2016 Mikhail Lysenko reports from Moscow: Suspension and termination of Russian-U.S. nuclear cooperation agreements: implications for Russia, the United States, and global security

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N7/2016 Alexey Lukatsky reports from Moscow: Accusation of cyberatacks: the facts to keep in mind

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N6/2016 Vadim Kozyulin reports from Moscow: Military Robotics in the United States, China and Russia: Start of Undeclared Competition

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N5/2016 Evgeny Buzhinsky reports from Moscow: The Future on Dialogue on BMD, INF Forces and Conventional Forces in Europe in the Light of Warsaw NATO Summit Results

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N4/2016 Russia Confidential reports from Moscow: Russia and the World Opposing New Threats (based on materials from the V Moscow Conference on International Security

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N3/2016 Evgeny Buzhinskiy reports from Moscow: (Ur)Realistic Threats? DPRK's And Iran's Missile Programs

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N2/2016 PIR Center reports from Moscow: Strengthening the Nuclear non-Proliferation Regime in 2016-2020: View from Russia

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N1/2016 Vadim Kozyulin reports from Moscow: The Enemy of My Enemy: Moscow in Search of New Allies


RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N12/2015 Mikhail Mostovjuk reports from Moscow: Quasi State and Its Non-Quasi Budget: Islamic State Financial Sources, Russian Countermeasures and Initiatives

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N11/2015 Dmitry Evstafiev reports from Moscow: Confrontation of External Forces in Syrian Conflict: challenges of "Transition" and the Role of Russia

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N10/2015 Oleg Demidov reports from Moscow: Responsibility of States for Wrongful Acts in Cyberspace: Discussion in the World and in Russia

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N9/2015 Evgeny Buzhinsky reports from Moscow, Oleg Shakirov reports from Vienna: Security Architecture in Europe in Today's New Geopolitical Environment

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N8/2015 Svetlana Klyuchanskaya reports from Novosibirsk: Russia, EEU, and ASEAN: From Bilateral Ties to Inter-regional Cooperation?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N7/2015 Vladimir Orlov reports from New York: 2015 NPT Review Conference in the Eyes of a Russian Participant

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N6/2015 Jacob Coakwell and Oleg Demidov report from Moscow: Crypto Currencies: Security Issues and Regulative Approaches in Russia and Abroad

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N5/2015 Russia Confidential reports from Moscow: International Security Today: a View from Moscow and Abroad (Report based on materials of the IV Moscow International Security Conference held under the auspices of the Russian MoD)

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N4/2015 PIR-Center and Strategic Studies Network report from Antalya: On the Way to a Comprehensive Agreement on Iranian Nuclear Issue: Chances and Risks, Global and Regional Solutions

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N3/2015 Ivan Safranchuk reports from Moscow: U.S. Strategy for Central Asia under President Barack Obama - View from Russia

RUSSIA COFIDENTIAL N2/2015 Evgeny Buzhinsky reports from Moscow: The Role of the OSCE in International Security: Opportunities Not Exhausted

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N1/2015 Yuri Fedorov reports from Prague: Russia's Eastward Pivot: Problems and Outlook


RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N12/2014 Andrey Shadurskiy reports from Saint Petersburg: The Shale Revolution and New Rules of the Game: Are Russia's Positions in European Energy Markets in Danger?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N11/2014 Irina Mironova reports from Moscow: Russia and Iran in the Global Gas Markets: Future Competition Inevitable?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N10/2014 Yuri Fedorov reports from Prague: Energy Exports to East Asia as Part of Russia's Strategic Pivot to the East

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N9/2014 Russia Confidential reports from Moscow: Arms Trade in New Realities: Crisis Around Ukraine, Western Sanctions, and the Russia Defense Industry

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N8/2014 Evgeny Buzhinsky reports from Moscow: Does the INF Treaty Have a Future?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N7/2014 Vladimir Orlov reports from Moscow: 4+5+4: Global Trends, Today's Bizarre Geopolitics, and What It Means for Russia and the World

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N6/2014 Russia Confidential reports from Moscow: Afghanistan after 2014: Russia's Concerns, Approaches, and Formats of Cooperation

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N5/2014 Andrey Baklitskiy reports from Moscow: One Last Step to Reach the Deal: Russian-US Recomendations for the Comprehensive Agreement on the Iranian Nuclear Issue

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N4/2014 Oleg Demidov reports from Moscow: BRICS in the Global Internet Governance Agenda: Time for a Step Forward?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N3/2014 Vladimir Orlov reports from Moscow: Crimea Crisis: Assessing the Role of Security Assurances to Ukraine and the 1994 Budapest Memorandum

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N2/2014 Vadim Kozyulin reports from Moscow: The Terrorist International: Is There a Future for a Democratic Afghanistan?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N1/2014 (Anniversary Issue) Russia Confidential editors report from Moscow: 20 Years of Timely Analisys and Accurate Forecasts



RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N12/2013 Aleksandr Chekov reports from Moscow: International Experience of Chemical Disarmament: Lessons for Syria

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N11/2013 Natalya Kalinina reports from Moscow: Russian Arms Supplies to Middle East

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N10/2013 Oleg Demidov reports from Moscow: Edward Snowden's Ten Bombshells That Shook the World: How Russia and Its Partners Will Respond

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N9/2013 Yuri Fedorov reports from Prague: State Armament Program 2020: Current State and Outlook 

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N8/2013 Yulia Sveshnikova, Amir Roknifard report from Kuala-Lumpur: The Iranian Elections Results: Change on the Horizon?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N7/2013 Artem Blashchanitsa, Aleksandr Cheban and Aleksandr Plugarev report from Moscow: A War of Extermination: On the Likelihood of the Use of Chemical Weapons in the Syrian Conflict

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N6/2013 Oleg Demidov reports from Moscow: Cyberwarfare and Russian Style of Cyberdefense

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N5/2013 PIR Center and its partners report from Venice: How To Reach an Agreement with Iran

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N4/2013 Andrey Baklitsky reports from Moscow: Rosatom in the Middle East: Why Western Competitors Chances Are Slim?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N3/2013 Vladimir Orlov and Aleksandr Cheban report from Moscow: What Should Replace the Nunn-Lugar Program from the Russian Point of View

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N2/2013 Evgeny Buzhinsky reports from Moscow: Is Prague Agenda Dead? - A View by a Russian General

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N1/2013 Eldar Kasayev reports from Moscow: Qatar: Russia's Ambitious Competitor on the Gas Market



RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N12/2012 Steven Pifer reports from Washington: NATO-Russia Missile Defense: Compromise is Possible

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N11/2012 Arnaud Leclercq reports from Geneva: Russia's Eurasian Horizons

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N10/2012 Andrey Baklitsky, Evgeny Buzhinsky, Pavel Luzin, Oleg Demidov report from Moscow: BRICS and High-Tech: Prospects for Cooperation and Russia's Interests

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N9/2012 Oleg Demidov, Maxim Simonenko report from Moscow: Flame in Cyberspace

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N8/2012 Anatoly Antonov reports from Moscow: Military Use of Space

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N7/2012 Vadim Kozyulin reports from Moscow: Afghanistan-2014 and the Taliban with Its Head Held Proud but Low

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N6/2012 Evgeny Buzhinsky reports from Moscow: The Results of NATO’s Unremarkable Summit in Chicago

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N5/2012 Evgeny Kanaev, Sergey Luzyanin, Dmitry Mosyakov, Viktor Sumsky, Vladimir Terekhov, Aleksey Voskresensky report from Moscow: Sino-American Rivalry in Asia: Conclusions for Russia

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N4/2012 Julia Kryachkina, Irina Mironova report from Moscow: The APEC Summit in Vladivostok: What Russia Should Take into Account

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N3/2012 Evgeny Buzhinsky reports from Moscow: On The Issue of Non-Strategic (Tactical) Nuclear Weapons

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N2/2012 Vladimir Orlov reports from Brussels: What Iran Needs. What Russia Can Do

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N1/2012 Evgeny Buzhinsky, Igor Zevelev report from Moscow: US-Russian Security Dialogue in 2012: Steps to Be Taken; Steps to Be Expected; and Steps Which Will Not Be Taken



RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N12/2011 Yuri Fedorov reports from Prague: Political Future for Uzbekistan

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N11/2011 Pavel Baev reports from Oslo: What to Expect from Putin’s Foreign Policy Version 4.0?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N10/2011 Oleg Demidov, Vladimir Orlov report from Moscow: Cyber Crime: a Threat to Information Security

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N9/2011 Yuri Fedorov reports from Prague: Struggle for Power, Kazakhstan Style

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N8/2011 Andrey Suzdaltsev reports from Moscow: Belarusian Political Class in a Crisis

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N7/2011 Yuri Fedorov reports from Prague: Kazakhstan: Looming Instability?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N6/2011 Artem Goncharuk reports from Nankin: China's Nuclear “Big Leap” and Russia’s Role

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N5/2011 Vladimir Orlov and Ivan Trushkin report from Gstaad: Recommendations of SUPR – Sustainable Partnership With Russia Group

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N4/2011 Anatoly Anin, Rodion Ayumov report from Moscow: Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty: What Is Russia Trying to Achieve?

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N3/2011 Anatoly Anin reports from Moscow: Strategic Instability

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N2/2011 Vladimir Orlov and Ivan Trushkin report from Moscow: The Iranian Nuclear Program: Dilemmas Facing Russia

RUSSIA CONFIDENTIAL N1/2011 Vadim Kozyulin reports from Islamabad, Galiya Ibragimova reports from Tashkent: Afghanistan: What to Expect, and What Does It Mean for Russia?